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UPDATE: Stand-pat Federal budget aims for balanced books by 2015

Posted By: Newstalk 1010 · 3/21/2013 5:45:00 PM

When Jim Flaherty was a young man, they called it a brake stand -- one foot on the gas and one on the brake, creating
lots of noise and plumes of blue smoke but moving the vehicle sideways if at all.

Stephen Harper's finance minister is banking that all the torque in his eighth federal budget, delivered Thursday, will propel the Canadian economy forward in a burst sometime next year.

It's all geared to a fall 2015 election date, when Prime Minister Stephen Harper hopes to woo Canadian voters with the first balanced federal budget since 2008.

In the meantime, Flaherty's foot remains firmly on the government spending brake in a 2013-14 fiscal blueprint that shuffles priorities, re-allocates resources and cracks down on tax cheats but adds no new money while continuing dramatic cuts to direct program expenses.

Canadians have faith, Flaherty told the House of Commons in his budget speech, ``that their government will be a benign and silent partner in their enterprise, not an overbearing behemoth squeezing them at every turn.''

The deficit for the current fiscal year that ends in two weeks is projected to be $25.9 billion -- exactly as forecast in the fall fiscal update but up significantly from the $21.1 billion posited by Flaherty in last March's budget.

Part of that bump comes from a one-time, $2.4-billion increase in Ottawa's nuclear cleanup liability.

Total spending, including debt-servicing charges, will rise to $282.6 billion this year, up less than one per cent on the 2012-13 spending envelope of $280.1 billion.

That's effectively a cut after inflation and population growth are factored in.

More significantly, direct program expenses -- which exclude major transfers to other levels of government -- are projected to plunge almost $4 billion this year and another $2.5 billion in 2014-15.

The exact nature of those program cuts remains something of a mystery. The budget was delivered the same day the departing parliamentary budget officer, Kevin Page, was in Federal Court trying to force the government to release departmental details of spending cuts announced in last year's budget.

``It's very much a status quo budget,'' said economist Derek Burleton of TD Bank. ``Reallocation is a key theme.''

Political opponents of the government were less kind.

NDP Leader Tom Mulcair called it a ``shell-game con job,'' and Green party Leader Elizabeth May dubbed it the ``fudge-it budget.''

``The propaganda machine is going to be working overtime because they've repackaged and put together some old programs and given them new names,'' groused Bob Rae, the interim Liberal leader.

The centrepiece of the document is a revamped plan for skills training to better align the Canadian workforce with employer needs.

The plan won't kick in until April 2014 and is contingent on negotiations with the provinces, who are expected to foot the bill
for a third of each $15,000 training grant, with Ottawa and the employer also chipping in $5,000 each.

Quebec's sovereignist government had begun kicking up a fuss before the budget was even tabled, and likely won't be the only provincial capital to squawk.

Skills training was moved to provincial jurisdiction in the last decade, and Ottawa's more direct intervention may be construed as a sharp change of course.

And after years of corporate tax cuts, the government continues to wrestle with flagging business innovation, introducing a series of new adjustments in an effort to promote manufacturing development.

Other budget elements:

* A renewed infrastructure fund worth $47 billion over 10 years, again starting in 2014.

* $241 million over five years linking training programs to First Nations people collecting income assistance.

* $100 million over two years to support housing construction in Nunavut. 

* Additional tax breaks for adoption-related expenses.

* Reducing import tariffs on hockey equipment and baby clothes.
* A proposal to hike fees for processing visa and citizenship applications.

The 2013-14 budget anticipates that closing tax loopholes and chasing tax cheats will rake in half a billion dollars this year and rise to $1.3 billion the year after.

The Canada Revenue Agency is supposed to manage that feat while absorbing a $19-million budget cut this year and another $58 million in 2014.

Flaherty's officials assume GST revenues -- which grew 1.8 per cent in 2012-13 -- will rise 4.9 per cent annually and that corporate tax revenues will jump by 5.5 per cent a year, on average.

And they book in big savings from program cuts that are still working their way through the federal government.

To meet these targets, the budget document says the ``government will introduce legislation as needed to consolidate operations and eliminate redundant organizations.''

The Canadian International Development Agency is to be absorbed into the department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade.

The forecast is that the federal deficit will fall to $18.7 billion this year, then plunge to $6.6 billion in 2014-15 in time to
be balanced for 2015-16.

``The stakes are really high on 2015,'' said Mary Webb, senior economist at Scotiabank.

The Conservatives dangled several pricey promises during the 2011 election campaign that were contingent on them balancing the books, including tax-splitting for couples with children under 18, doubling the annual tax-free savings account limit and doubling the children's tax credit.

``There were some campaign commitments that were made so there'll be lots of demands for funding in 2015-16,'' Flaherty told a news conference.

FIVE WAYS THE FEDERAL BUDGET MAY AFFECT YOU

1. If you play sports, equipment might be cheaper.

The government is eliminating the tariff on imported sports equipment. That could save you anywhere from 2.5 per cent to 20 per cent of the cost of golf clubs, snowboards, hockey equipment and exercise devices. Provided, of course, the retailer passes those cost savings on to you.

2. If you're a new parent, baby clothes might be cheaper.

That same tariff reduction could also see a reduction of 18 per cent off the price of imported baby clothes.

3. If you require or use home care services, you'll save money.

The government is broadening its GST/HST exemption to include homemaker services like bathing, feeding and other personal care. A potential boon for people with disabilities and families caring for aging parents.

4. If you roll your own cigarettes, be prepared to pay more.

The special duty rate attached to tobacco used for chewing and in roll-your-own cigarettes is gone. That means a near-doubling of the duty costs, from $2.89 per 50 grams to $5.31.

5. If you want to adopt, the process might be cheaper.

Some expenses related to adoption already get tax breaks; the government is extending those breaks to items like mandatory adoption courses. And it applies to all adoptions finalized after 2012.

(The Canadian Press)

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  1. EM posted on 03/21/2013 04:47 PM
    This is the African tragedy, for this statement is being reported today actually by The Globe and Mail. As much as sensible people are calling for stupid so called NGOs to leave Africa, apparently those NGOs are the main investing arms of Western countries. So even if we as Africans decry the expulsion of these NGOs that they are making our people lazy and thank you we do not want your AID, Western governments actually look at those NGOs as a direct investment hands into the countries they land in. So you are in Africa to suck it and suck it to decimation as millions die. The Federal government Budget of today is interesting for it is making CIDA a priority. What country do you ever see using its helping hand to be a priority in a Federal budget? Honestly are Canadians that good to so love Africa and CIDA must be made a priority in this budget? Now you cannot respond to that question until when you realize the statement Julian Fantino made about CIDA and how crucial is CIDA to all countries it is in to Canada. Below is a statement Minister Fantino made on the importance of CIDA to Canada out there where it is.

    “We have to tilt the agency’s poverty-alleviation and development programs to be more closely aligned with Canadian companies – and particularly mining companies – operating in developing countries around the world.”
    -Julian Fantino, Canadian International Co-Operation Minister.

    It is very sad for we as Africans must start to really understand what Western AID means, but we must understand the danger of Western NGOs. It is to loot us the most we have and to create as many war lords in the process. It is a very a disappointing day.

    EM
    Toronto
  2. Only Common Sense posted on 03/22/2013 08:02 AM
    The only "news" worth noting in this budget is that ...
    - if the projections the "One-Man-Harper-Band" has made are correct
    (for the very first time in this government's history),
    - then the deficit he created completely on his own after inheriting the largest surplus ion Canadian history will finally be eliminated. in 2 more years.

    The real news?
    The "One-Man-Harper-Band" will continue:
    ... to overspend on advertising its lack of success at our expense
    ... to facilitate the export of Canadian jobs overseas in unprecedented numbers
    ... to look in panic at the election of 2015

    Ho hum ... big build-up followed by nothing of consequence - except to underscore the totally political nature of this "non-budget".
  3. EM posted on 03/22/2013 05:41 PM
    That is the damage you get when you do not have an opposition, and we do not have an opposition. It is so appalling that this is the best budget we can have, by the way they are appeasing sector by sector, this time around they are on Hockey players and Hockey mums. I have listened to Jerry Agar to sell it this morning, but I fully understand his position in failing to do so, you really needed an animal heart to sell this budget. They are actually going to train people for jobs now that the provinces are dealing with the foreign affairs. Can you simply imagine if this budget was read by a Liberal Government? Man or man it would have taken 5 straight days on Jerry Agar show. We need to revise the system, we need to go to those school meetings, those church meetings, those soccer games, those forums. We need to raise every one for either way this goes, Steven Harper, The prime Minister is going to call for an election at a certain point of this life time. We honestly can do better than this.

    People we need a government in Ottawa. And a majority government.

    EM
    On the 49th
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