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Poll: Tories, Liberals in a dead heat

But Tory supporters most likely to vote in Provincial election

The Tories and Liberals are in a statistical dead heat going into the final week of the election campaign, but Progressive Conservative voters are still the most likely to cast their ballots.

That's the latest from an Ipsos Reid poll conducted for CTV and CP24 but shown exclusively to Newstalk 1010.

Both the PCs and Liberals have 35 per cent support, while the NDP clock in at 26 per cent. Four per cent would back another party, including the Greens.

But when you weigh in who will actually go out and vote, the numbers change. The Tories then get 40 per cent support, compared to 32 per cent for the Liberals. The NDP vote drops to 24 per cent. There is three per cent support for other parties.

Senior VP of Public Affairs of Ipsos Reid John Wright that means you'll likely see the Liberals pushing for supporters to get to the ballot box on June 12th. It will also mean the party will continue to go after Tim Hudak and the Tories and likely turn up the heat on it.

The while support is waning in other parts of the province, the Liberals still stay strong in Toronto, with 44 per cent support. The Tories have 27 per cent and NDP have 26 per cent. The Tories have the edge in the 905, with 43 per cent support. The Liberals have 36 per cent and the NDP have 18 per cent.

Wright says what this poll shows is that voters appetite for change stays strong, with 68 per cent of those surveyed saying they want another provincial party to take over.

Two in ten Ontarians say that they will make up their mind in the last week of the campaign or in the voting booth on Election Day.

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  1. dama posted on 06/06/2014 06:50 PM
    Ya,, Liberal voters can stay at home, have a cold beer and not leave the house to vote

    I guess those scandals and billion dollars lost do not really bother Liberal voters
    1. Sonny posted on 06/06/2014 08:16 PM
      @dama It's an Ipsos poll. I would like to remind you that Hudak was going to close the gas plants had he not blown his lead last time...
    2. steve posted on 06/10/2014 08:56 AM
      @Sonny @ Sonny .. I would like to remind you and anyone, that all of the leaders had said at one time they were going to close the gas plants. That does NOT make a deference in the equation !The LIBERALS were running the government at the time and DID make the BAD DECISION that cost TAXPAYERS over $1.1 BILLION DOLLARS ! all the while the LIBERALS were misleading the house and the PCs + NDP with figures like 40 million which is a HUGE DIFFERENCE ! So ANY decisions OR CHOICES the OPPOSITION PONDERED over have NO baring !
  2. █Alèx█ posted on 06/06/2014 07:05 PM
    █Pèrfèct tïtlè ïn thè Toronto Stär!!!█

    ""Ontario election pits tainted Liberals against dangerous Tories: Walkom""
    1. steve posted on 06/10/2014 09:20 AM
      @█Alèx█ The OPPOSITION of HUDAK and his PCs want people to BELIEVE the PCs are 'dangerous' and there MATH doesn't add up.
      When have the LIBERALS MATH ever ADDED UP!
      When they claimed the gas plants would cost Ontario $40 million dollars when it turned out to be $1.1 BILLION DOLLARS that we KNOW OF because they also erased the EVIDENCE of THEIR WROG DOINGS ON COMPUTERS!
      Or WHY DON"T WE JUST LOOK AT THE FACT THAT THE LIBERALS HAVE OVER DOUBLED THE DEBT ONTARIO HAS MAINLY FROM THE NDP TO THE TUNE OF $297.8 'BILLION DOLLARS' + DAILY INTEREST !! This FACT can NOT be avoided by the SPENDING LIBERALS and the NDP !
  3. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 06/06/2014 07:36 PM
    Hudak's Tea Party far right extremism will mean a Liberal government next week
    Liberal voters will show up at the polls in numbers that the so-called experts don't expect.

    End of story.
    1. Dean posted on 06/06/2014 07:44 PM
      @Sammy from Scarborough More likely, voters turn out in droves to tell the Liberals that we've lost too many billions of dollars to their useless committees, special-interest handouts, and flat-out theft.

      The nice thing is, even though you're so blatantly in support of watching the Liberals destroy this province, you're still going to benefit like everyone else when the PCs fix the Wynne/McGuinty mess. And I will be right here to say "I told you so."
    2. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 06/06/2014 08:03 PM
      @Dean You will be hiding on the 13th if you have any brains at all.

      No ... wait a minute.
      You don't have any brains at all.

      ** You believe Hudak will create a million jobs when only 1 economist in the entire country says it's possible.
      ** You believe that more employment will happen from killing 100,000 jobs in social and educational services.
      ** You believe that giving corporate tax cuts will create jobs when it's been proven too many times to quote that it NEVER HAS !
      ** And, worst of all, you probably believe that if you do exactly what Harris did but you multiply that by a factor of 10 you'll be running a successful economy.

      Yes, Dean - you and the rest of your under-educated Tea Party faithful will be hard to find on the 13th - because Wynne will win. (possibly even by a 2 or 3 seat majority)
    3. Greg posted on 06/07/2014 09:39 AM
      @Sammy from Scarborough Wow, you can be wrong a lot in one post.

      **If Hudak creates only one job he will have done better than the Libs who have cost Ontario 300,000.

      **It's called "Attrition" which means not replacing workers who retire or quit and not filling currently vacant positions.

      **A business friendly atmosphere will entice new businesses to open up shop. Higher profits mean more money for expansions and upgrades.

      **We need Harris right now. He had to clean up after the disastrous Bob Rae and the NDP. Just like Hudak will have to clean up after these criminals. You'll have to shut up and take your damned medicine.

      When people ask me why I'm voting PC I tell them that every commercial telling me not to is sponsored by a public sector union. That tells me all I need to know.
    4. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 06/07/2014 01:28 PM
      @Greg 1. Manufacturing job losses, according to credible economists, are more of a product of Free Trade than anything else. You, of course, will deny that, since NAFTA was a "gift" from Lyin' Brian Mulroney - another Tea Party Contard.
      2. Attrition doesn't even come close - even if you're willing to spend millions retraining people for the "sudden available spaces" - wherever they might occur.
      3.I repeat - lower corporate taxes (the proper term for your switch to "business friendly") have NOT worked anywhere they've been tried.
      4. We're still digging out from under the Harris nitwits and their mess.
      5. A simpler reply from you would be "I'm voting Con because I'm under-educated and a sucker for a mantra like "million jobs plan" - even though every economist in the country except one says it can't be done.

      There's a special; on this weekend at little Timmy Hudak's former - and soon-to-be-employer-again, WalMart - on crying towels. Stock up. You'll need them on the 12th.
    5. Jack posted on 06/07/2014 02:46 PM
      @Sammy from Scarborough You say that lower corporate taxes have never worked anywhere; how about out-of-control government spending, repeated multi-million-dollar scandals, and a public sector that grows like cancer every year? All we have to do is look at Detroit and Greece to see how well THOSE work as government policies.

      It's time for a change. It's time for the PCs.
    6. steve posted on 06/10/2014 09:32 AM
      @Sammy from Scarborough @ Sammy .. You can "end your story" if you chose, but I will NOT end mine by giving up on ONTARIO and voting this 'has 'been' WYNNE liberal government back in power!
      Wynne called this election HERSELF ! The BUDGET was NOT even given a vote in parliament, so the OPPOSITION DID "NOT" turn it down yet. Everything was only done in the media - someone could have change their mind !
      In other words if you vote Liberal You are condoning the waste of this election and previous HISTORY !!
  4. Walter posted on 06/06/2014 07:53 PM
    PC has an 8 point lead when looking at motivated voters. This matches my expectation. Conservative voters listen more to talk radio, not just approaching the election but all year long. These people have been paying attention long enough to know that the corrupt Liberals do not deserve their vote.
    1. Sammy form Scarborough posted on 06/06/2014 08:07 PM
      @Walter There will be many surprised people on the 13th - you among them.

      The Liberal vote will be large and there will be surprises in so-called "safe" Con ridings.

      Look for a slim Liberal MAJORITY (1 - 3 seats)
    2. steve posted on 06/10/2014 09:52 AM
      @Sammy form Scarborough @ Sammy .. Doesn't sound like you have much faith in the people of ONTARIO. Grated we as a collective group have put up with 'Too Much' to put it politely B.S. from the WYNNE - McGuinty LIBERALs.
      Do you think enough people have had there heads in the sand long enough and are buying the fact WYNNES supposed government is NEW? Tell me it is NOT SO?! Her own FINANCE MINISTER is the one who announced the final closing of the GAS PLANTS that coast us $1.1 BILLION DOLLARS for the only good of their own party at ELECTION TIME ! THE DEBT SITS AT $297.8 BILLION DOLLARS because of the LIBERALS !!
      People CAN'T be that out of touch !?! CAN THEY?
  5. Sonny posted on 06/07/2014 12:44 PM
    I was thinking that these polls have small samples for the Province and likely don't include young people who don't even have land lines. The thing is that seniors vote at 4 times the rate of youth because they have the time to go vote...
    1. steve posted on 06/10/2014 10:03 AM
      @Sonny Unfortunately, youth didn't live through the days of certain previous governments and usually get a slanted or one sided view from people who did or slanted views of certain articles they may look up. That is why it may be important for people to read various different views.
      One Fact that can NOT be changed is the fact Ontario has a major debt created mostly by the LIBERALS of $297.1 BILLION DOLLARS + DAILY INTEREST !! This is going to be carried on for YEARS what ever government gets in power! Adding to it IS RECKLESS AND DANGEROUS !
  6. David posted on 06/07/2014 08:34 PM
    To everyone who will vote for the Liberal Party

    If you are going to vote for the liberals despite their lies, waste and robbery then I say then you are a liar and thief.

    What will you say to your spouse if you wasted the same percentage of your income on something as the Liberals wasted on E-health?

    Will you lie to your spouse if you bought a car and later cancelled the contract but still paid the full price like the Liberals did for the gas plants?

    Do not believe the bull shit about Tim Hudak and Walmart. There are many companies that want to pay their employees a good wage but they cannot do that with Liberal waste, high electric costs and increased taxes.

    And to all government employees. Do not forget one thing. MY TAXES PAY YOUR SALARY!! I am fed up with my taxes paying for government waste and for the wages of government workers that are better then mine for the same kind of work but they still complain how bad things are.

    SO GET YOUR HEAD OUT OF YOUR ASS AND JOIN THE REAL WORLD!!
  7. Mark posted on 06/07/2014 10:32 PM
    I do not care about Hudak's math. As long as his goal is to create good private sector jobs buy providing a good environment for business then I'm on boards.

    The liberals have put this province hundreds of billions in debt by feeding the piggy selfish unions our money. Not only should those corrupt scum bags lose this election, they should get ground into dust.
  8. RB Used to be the Tiffany of Private Radio--Now Just a Five and Dime posted on 06/09/2014 01:26 AM
    Will RB be on the air with its "award-winning team" of "journalists" covering the election results?

    Or will the usual suspects disappear early in the afternoon to moonlight at Sun TV News (Hey they call it news)? Will RBs' team of 2 year radio broadcasting grads be joining the Sun TV team of seasoned fools and Daytime TV News bimbos to bring the results? Ted Baxter ain't got nothing on this crew. When someone mentions Hepburn, Hearst, Mowat and Whitney you can bet all the dead bulbs on this team won't have a clue.
  9. Fact Provider posted on 06/10/2014 09:58 AM
    4 facts for all to consider (especially if you're thinking of voting Conservative).

    1 - Ontario's credit rating is Aa2.
    Aa2 is better than Aa3, which was Ontario's credit rating when Harris was Premier.

    2 - Ontario's credit rating was raised to Aa1 when Dalton McGuinty was Premier.

    3 - Interest payments ate up nearly 15% of Gov't spending in 2002 when Harris was Premier.

    4 - Total interest payments account for under 10% of Gov't spending today.

    These are called facts. Not opinion. Not embellishments. Not spin. Just 4 facts.
    1. steve posted on 06/10/2014 02:14 PM
      @Fact Provider Major flaw in your so called facts. Why are you or anyone considering credit ratings? You actually think this province should be looking at the price of borrowing more MONEY.
      HAVE YOU FORGOT TO MENTION THE 'MAIN' FACT; THE WYNNE-MCGUINTY LIBERAL PARTY HAS PUT THIS PROVINCE IN MAJOR DEBT TO THE TUNE OF " $297.8 BILLION DOLLARS " !!
      THIS IS A FACT THAT CAN 'NOT' BE DENIED NO MATTER HOW YOU SPIN IT !!
  10. steve posted on 06/10/2014 01:03 PM
    Wynne & the Liberals talk bout HUDAK & the PCs being dangerous!
    IT IS DANGEROUS FOR 'ONTARIO' TO STAY ON THE SAME TRACK AND VOTE THE LIBERALS BACK IN POWER TO CONTINUE A NEW PACK OF SCANDALS OR EVEN DANDEROUS TO PUT AN NDP GOVERNMENT IN POWER! BOTH PARTYS WILL SPEND.. SPEND..SPEND AND RAISE TAXES + INTRODUCE CUTS TO ESSENTIAL ITEMS!
    HUDAK IS THE ONLY ONE WHO IS TALKING ABOUT ISSUES. THE OTHER 2 ARE AVOIDING THEM OR BING VERY VAGUE!!
    1. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 06/10/2014 01:21 PM
      @steve Your use of CAPS betrays the fact that you are a typically under-educated Con supporter.

      Your failure to recognize the inherent dangers in Hudak's plan and your blind willingness to support Tea Party Tim's weak leadership is obvious.

      Hide on the 13th - people will be making fun of you for your wasted vote.
    2. Steve posted on 06/10/2014 02:21 PM
      @Sammy from Scarborough @ Sammy .. cap are used so you may understand!

      As for remainder of your B.S. - easy to make fun of others for there opinions isn't it ! We all have our weaknesses.
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