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POLL: Three-way race on election day

Ipsos Reid poll shows support nearly tied for three main parties

The election will be a photo finish, it just depends on who gets their supporters to actually cast their ballots.

That's according to the latest Ipsos Reid poll done for CTV and CP24, shown exclusively to Newstalk 1010.

It says the Liberal have now edged out the Tories in support among decided voters - 33 per cent compared to 31 per cent. However, the NDP isn't far behind with 30 per cent.

When you consider who actually gets to the polling station, the numbers are still close but the Progressive Conservatives stay on top with 36 per cent support, followed by the Liberals and NDP with 30 per cent each.

John Wright of Ipsos Reid says the numbers look to be pointing to a Tory minority government.

Wright says NDP support has shifted in Toronto, which may give the Liberals a run for their money. The Liberals are still ahead in the 416, with 4 in ten voters giving them the thumbs up. But the NDP now have 33 per cent support in the city, with the PCs at 21 per cent and other parties at four per cent.

Two in three Ontarians say they want a change in government.

NDP leader Andrea Horwath has pulled ahead for who would make the best Premier with 38 per cent of respondents of favouring her.  Liberal Kathleen Wynne only has 33 per cent of people who think she's best suited for Premier. Tory leader Tim Hudak comes in third with 29 per cent.

The poll shows 56 per cent of people want a majority government.

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  1. Jack posted on 06/11/2014 06:00 PM
    If you really want a change from the scandal, waste, and mismanagement of the Liberal government, and a change from their constant breaches of the public trust, it's imperative that you get out tomorrow and vote PC.

    If the PCs aren't able to form a majority government, we'll be no better off than we are today. The Liberals and NDP will simply team up and steamroll every measure the PCs introduce to save our economy.

    Vote with your conscience. Vote for Ontario's future. Vote PC.
  2. tanjo posted on 06/11/2014 08:57 PM
    Best case: Liberal minority. Hudak resigns. We hold our nose for a year or two until a new, strong PC leader is established that knows how to manage a government, then vote PCs in to a majority.

    2nd best: PC minority. Let's see how they do. Minority means their more insane policies won't get through. Liberals and NDPs wouldn't DARE defeat the gov for at least a couple years.

    3rd: PC Majority. Not really ready to trust him, but if this happens, let's hope there are enough level-headed PC MPPs to filter out the Far-Right craziness.

    Worst Case: Liberal Majority, or anything involving Horvath as Premier. Don't worry. Won't happen.
  3. David posted on 06/11/2014 09:01 PM
    Hey Liberal supporters, especially government employees, did you hear about "Smokey' Thomas of OPSEU president of one of your precious unions? In a recent Toronto Sun story he said that Wynne is lying about not cutting government jobs.

    So answer this Mr. and Ms. Liberal.

    If Tim Hudak is so evil to cut public service jobs by ATTRITION, not firing and be honest about what he will do why is OK for old Wynne bag to do the same thing and lie about it?

    I will tell you why. Liberals are liars and will do anything to stay in power. The gas plants prove that.
    1. Loretta posted on 06/12/2014 02:46 AM
      @David David you must be using PC math on 100, 000 jobs thru attrition .
    2. Karl Burgin posted on 06/12/2014 12:11 PM
      @David "Hey Liberal supporters, especially government employees, did you hear about "Smokey' Thomas of OPSEU president of one of your precious unions? In a recent Toronto Sun story he said that Wynne is lying about not cutting government jobs."

      They didn't get the memo ;p
  4. Fact Provider posted on 06/12/2014 07:32 AM
    Too funny for words.
    Ipsos (we're actually biased ... please vote Conservative) Reid "polling" group says a Conservative minority will happen ... and then produces numbers to prove themselves completely wrong.

    The final aggregate polling results (combining ALL the polling done as of yesterday) show a Liberal minority with the slim chance of a Liberal majority.

    I'll stick with my 10 day old prediction of a Liberal win.
    1. Angry Bill posted on 06/12/2014 12:26 PM
      @Fact Provider For the sake of all of us, I hope you're wrong. A liberal win = a people's loss.
  5. john posted on 06/12/2014 08:20 AM
    thay sey that i kan vot fer 2 out of 3 if im not sur wat to do .
    Karl Burgin pleez hep me wif this .
    u r the smartiest guy onhere so i want sum advise .
    1. john posted on 06/12/2014 02:36 PM
      @john kiss my ass i am not that bad of a speller .
  6. HP posted on 06/12/2014 10:00 AM
    Only an idiot would bother voting today. Why?

    It makes no difference who wins because the Ontario government no longer has any wiggle room. Ontario has the largest non-sovereign government debt IN THE WORLD!. More debt than California, Detroit, any state, province, territory on earth. No matter what the parties promise, all promises will be broken simply because there's no money and no options. Hudak's policy of laying of 100,000 civil servants is stupid...there's only 60,000 provincial bureaucrats and after an 11 year hiring freeze, there's little downsizing possible. The only option is firing police, teachers, nurses, closing hospitals, etc.

    Regardless who wins, taxes will go up, services down, and the quality of life in Ontario will make Zimbabwe look good.

    So join me in boycotting this election...tell the bums that we're not idiots, no longer trust and believe them, and tell them we're not playing their stupid games anymore.
    1. Karl Burgin posted on 06/12/2014 12:13 PM
      @HP "Ontario has the largest non-sovereign government debt IN THE WORLD!. More debt than California, Detroit, any state, province, territory on earth. No matter what the parties promise, all promises will be broken simply because there's no money and no options"

      Good. You acknowledge that the government that has been in place has been atrocious. Now we have to punish those that has led us down this rocky path, and get back on the road to recovery.

      Vote with your conscious. Vote PC.
    2. dama posted on 06/12/2014 03:14 PM
      @HP Boycotting is the worst option one can take right now..

      You are really disenchanted wit the current government for in 11 years, debt want up to 300 billions.. job lost. companies left Ontario, taxes have been going up.. hydro rate,,went up like crazy.. green energy, not producing jobs that it supposed to,, so boycotting this election will make all these go away?? Not a chance..

      To have a real shot of minising the debt,, Tim Hudak's platform is sane and do-able..

      You want change.. you have a choice not to re- vote the Liberal.. voting Liberal is telling yourself,, it is ok to have a corrupt government..

      Don't boycott.. go and vote then come back and watch the World Cup..

      Go Rangers.. they finally won one - last night
  7. Jack posted on 06/12/2014 10:31 AM
    DO NOT BOYCOTT THE POLLS.

    Between advance polling and the fact that polls have already been open for 90 minutes, a boycott cannot accomplish anything but make it more likely that we're stuck with another Liberal government. That means:

    More billions wasted.
    More promises broken.
    More tax hikes.
    Higher hydro rates.
    More bloating in the public sector, followed by a massive panicked cut in a few years.

    Get outside and vote. Vote with your conscience. Vote for Ontario's future. Vote PC.
    1. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 06/12/2014 11:14 AM
      @Jack Well ... which is it?
      Your conscience? ... in which case one should not vote to decimate healthcare and education.

      Or ... vote PC
      Ho ho ... it doesn't compute you PC goof.
    2. Karl Burgin posted on 06/12/2014 12:15 PM
      @Jack My man....I really like your taglines at the end. Good stuff.
      You should have done the marketing for the PCs during the campaign.

      I hope you don't mind if I borrow them ;p
  8. Angry Bill posted on 06/12/2014 12:47 PM
    “Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.” - Mark Twain.

    And the liberal diaper has been stinking to high heaven for a long, long time, now. They are waaay past their due date, and desperately need to be turfed.

    Go out and vote PC, to counteract all the short-sighted simpletons, teachers and self-serving public sector union types who have shown up in droves to continue the liberal policy of taxing and spending us into oblivion. Not to mention continuing their legacy of lies, mismanagement, theft and dishonesty.
  9. Angry Bill posted on 06/12/2014 03:59 PM
    Liberals be like:

    http://postimg.org/image/4rxbz96d3/
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