The latest opinion poll about the Ontario election shows support for the Ontario Liberals is growing, but the numbers can be deceiving.
A closer look reveals those supporters are less likely to actually get out and vote.
New online polling taken this week by Ipsos-Reid for CTV and CP24 finds the Liberals are up 3 points -- just 2 percent behind the Tories -- who gained 1 point, for 36 percent support.
Andrea Horwath's New Democrats slipped 5 points, to 23 percent of decided voters.
When it comes to decided and committed voters, the Tories have the most motivated support.
41 percent will vote for the Progressive-Conservatives, while support for the Liberals is down to 29 percent and the NDP is up -- to 25 percent.
"That's pretty much a majority government for the Tories, if that vote turns out," says Ipsos-Reid's John Wright.
About 870 Ontarians took part in the survey.