Poll: Over half of Ontarians think Liberals will be re-elected

New poll on provincial election done by Ipsos Reid

It doesn't matter who they would actually vote for, 52 per cent of Ontarians believe that the Liberals will be re-elected.

That's according to the latest Ipsos Reid poll conducted for Bell Media partners CTV and CP24, shown exclusively to Newstalk 1010.

Of the rest of those polled, 35 per cent believe the Progressive Conservatives will win on June 12th and 14 per cent think the NDP will take it.

Liberal supporters are also more confident that they'll come out on top on election day. Nine in ten Liberal voters think they'll form government, compared to eight in 10 Tory voters. Only 35 per cent of NDP voters think they'll form the next government.

Tory voters are still the most motivated to cast a ballot. Seven in ten PC voters say that 'nothing short of an unforeseen emergency" could stop them from voting.

Ontarians believe the Liberals have more momentum (38 per cent) than the PCs (34 per cent) and NDP (28 per cent).

The desire for change is still strong in the province, with seven in ten Ontarians wanting another party to take over at Queen's Park.

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  1. Lishan posted on 05/30/2014 01:40 PM
    Billions in waste, constant handouts to a bloated public sector, more debt all the time and an endless stream of businesses leaving the province. Is that what you want?

    Read the PC Platform, and find out how it will benefit you and everyone else in the province to vote PC on June 12. Still not convinced? Do some digging and find out what the Green platform is. See if there are any independent candidates in your riding. Find out what the Libertarians are up to these days; I hear they're pro-marijuana.

    The important thing, when you go into that ballot booth, is to say NO to eleven long, damaging years of Liberal corruption and ineptitude. Ontario needs change.
    1. Brian posted on 05/30/2014 05:07 PM
      @Lishan Saying no is nice - but remember when you say no you are also saying yes and that is the major problem - who do you say yes to - a man who was handed a wasteful government to replace and had to treat us like kids - Most financial people are saying a 1 million jobs promise is way over the top - even his own team is saying making such a promise is ridiculous (candidate in London, Ontario)

      so the question is - is Hudak a special kind of dumb, and if he is what does that make us if we vote for him

      I am still waiting for him to come out with the prison chain gang idea again

      don't get me wrong the Liberal make a mess but is Tim the answer with the ideas that are coming out of his mouth
    2. Lishan posted on 05/30/2014 05:41 PM
      @Brian Even if the number of "1 million" is a bit far-fetched, the PC plan is still the only plan in the election that will create ANY jobs or ANY lowering of government spending, and reduce ANY of our debt.
    3. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 06:03 PM
      @Lishan The PC plan is still the only plan in the election that targets 100 thousand good jobs while throwing out a inflated number and no clarification as to the quality of the supposed jobs, ie. part time or temp. or contract jobs.

      Vote John Tory for Mayor of Toronto
    4. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 06:16 PM
      @Lishan Everyone knows that a part-time job or a contract job is a SLAP IN THE FACE compared to living off welfare and getting money for free forever. Under a Liberal/NDP coalition government, in a few years we will all live in such a paradise.

      Vote Rob Ford for Mayor! Maybe if enough people think about him at the same time, he'll melt!
    5. ted posted on 06/02/2014 06:13 PM
      @Alex vote Alex, for village idiot
  2. fernando posted on 05/30/2014 02:13 PM
    i think if you read between the lines this says more about the conservatives under Hudak than the Liberals. Wrong leader for the PC party at this time. John Tory with more of a centre approach would defeat the Liberals. A vast majority ain't buying what Hudak is selling and that's why he will loose on the 12th and the party will have to go back and re-think it's policies and where do they want to go now
    1. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 02:21 PM
      @fernando Except it won't matter, because by the time the next election rolls around the Liberal/NDP coalition will have succeeded in forcing evil greedy businesses out of the province, and we'll all be able to live the easy life on WELFARE! :D

      Yessiree, unlimited free money for everyone with no consequences or downside. That'll be the good life. Vote Liberal! Or vote NDP. We get the same results either way :)
    2. fred posted on 05/30/2014 02:47 PM
      @fernando The PCs deserve a majority to make sure this nightmar scenario -Lib-Ndp never happens.
    3. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 06:29 PM
      @fernando Well said fernando!
      The problem is not the conservatives. It is the guy who is leading them. Tim Hudak, who wants to treat the province like it is a giant Walmart store.
      The rank and file workers making the least and enduring a 'take it or leave it' relationship with their employer. Probably best to vote for anyone but Tim Harris or Ernie Hudak.

      Vote John Tory for Mayor of Toronto.
    4. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 06:35 PM
      @fernando And as everyone knows, the only acceptable "take it or leave it" scenario is when a union presents it's demands to their employer and screams "TAKE IT OR LEAVE IT" at the top of their lungs.

      Of course, a lot of the time the employer takes their company and leaves Ontario, but that's really a good thing because it means more people living the life of relaxation on welfare. And sometimes the employer is the taxpayer, which still means more people going on welfare when their taxes gets too high, so it's win-win all around!

      I love free money, especially when it comes as the result of adults throwing a temper tantrum.
  3. fredorico posted on 05/30/2014 02:45 PM
    I'm trying to decide what to do with my permanent 10% provincial income tax refund which will cover a pretty nice holiday every year or two - forever!!!!

    C'mon up Mr. Hudak and cut the waste. We can't possibly need to have every eighth person at the trough, raking our money in, taking imaginary holidays we don't get and planning an unrealistically high and ridiculously long pension most of us will not have - yet using our money. Please put fixing pensions on your list - taxpayers can fund even a single dime beyond the retirement of any gov. worker - from here on in. Contributory plans will serve them.

    There is just not that much for gov. to do for 12M people to have 1.33M gov. workers - all levels. Please keep what's good and cut the rest. We need to spend smartly on so many things, but not extra desks. Desks hold us back.

    Accordingly, to prevent any hard landings, we need the province to reduce quickly through attrition where possible and pour money back into the economy, possibly maintaining high borrowing - at super-low rates - until 2016, but all-the-while giving infrastructure spending and refunds to taxpayers the pedal to the metal!

    Bravo Mr. Hudak. Good, smart, realistic plan.
    1. Bob posted on 05/30/2014 03:21 PM
      @fredorico being smart and realistic is what has the conservatives in trouble for not being
  4. dama posted on 05/30/2014 02:58 PM
    If that is true that Wynne will win.. Ontarians are glutton for punishment.. so dont cry over spilled milk..

    I cannot simply with sanity vote for a government(be it Liberal, PC or NDP) in this instance the Liberal; that wasted so much of our money ..

    and I pray that either PC or NDP will win.. even a minority government.. how bad can one of these 2.. but I know with Liberal winning.. it will be worst..

    Green energy will still be here..
    Drrive Clean will stil be here
    High insurance rate will still be here
    Manufacturing companies will still leave Ontario due t high cost of operating in Ontario

    Kids with cancer will still not get OHIP coverage..

    You catch my drift..
    1. Mike posted on 05/30/2014 03:27 PM
      @dama good lord Dama!
      comments like you just made with kids with cancer are immature and irresponsible. grow up!
      I'll come down to your level on this one you're a c***.
    2. sammy posted on 05/30/2014 03:33 PM
      @Mike bitches will always be bitches.
      I freakin hate everything about this provincial conservative party.
      I hate their leader i hate their policies i effing hate them with a passion. eff them and their supporters
    3. Renard posted on 05/30/2014 03:44 PM
      @Mike The Liberal government denied a dying child health coverage. It's relevant to the track record of the worst provincial government Ontario has ever had.
    4. dama posted on 05/30/2014 04:40 PM
      @Mike I am laying on the Liberal for their refusal to cover these medical fees.. and it is not just one isolated case that The Liberal is not covering medical fees that Ontarians needs..remember that lady that just died a month ago and she pleaded for coverage so it is an election issue in my book and this message is approved by DAMA.. and I dont have to apologise to anyone.. including you.
    5. dama posted on 05/30/2014 04:45 PM
      @Renard you said it best and it is relevant to their track record.. and as ToddK_2 stated.. Ontarionians are the dumbest voters..if they vote the Liberal back.. with their track records..
  5. ToddK_2 posted on 05/30/2014 03:48 PM
    Ontario voters are the dumbest people on the planet. Here are the facts

    - Moving towards a Greece end result in 8 years
    - Everyone wants to be a teacher here for the wrong reasons, we have 8000 too many and a low birth rate where we just don't need them
    - Greedy criminal Liberal party will probably get re-elected
    - The Mob\Union heads runs the Politicians

    Right to work legislation would have shattered this status quo as a first step to a better Ontario. We are going to be a deer in headlights after the Liberals get another 4 years
    1. Sonny posted on 05/30/2014 05:28 PM
      @ToddK_2 The Cons cannot be trusted with the Voodoo Math...
      Recently the new Federal budget watch dog said Canadians saved $30 billion in Income Tax & GST over 10 years. The thing is under St. Flaherty; the Cons ran $160 Billion in Deficits plus interest...
    2. barry posted on 05/30/2014 09:15 PM
      @ToddK_2 Oh for God sakes people we don't live in a 3rd world a matter of fact we live in the best province and it will cost us, you want to live in a chevy, go ahead move, but i prefer our cadillac, no cutting slashing for me...and scandals? show me any government in the world that don't have Hudak going to be the 1st in the world to not be corrupt? doubt it...
  6. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 05:59 PM
    Tim Hudak is too American Republican Tea Party right wing.
    As a former Walmart manager who wants to manage this province, he lacks real concern for working families in Ontario.
    The problem isn't being Conservative. The problem is being Tea Party like Mike Harris / Ernie Eves.

    Vote John Tory for Mayor of Toronto!
  7. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 06:04 PM
    The problem is that Tim Hudak is too concerned about working families rights and not concerned enough about the Working Families Coalition's rights.

    We've been living under a feudal system for decades, and it's time we woke up to it and accepted it: The unions are our masters, and we live and work at their pleasure. They have the right to take as much of the wealth that we work for as they want, and we have the right to shut up and take it.

    WAKE UP SHEEPLE: The unions are our masters, and that's exactly how I like it. Vote John Tory for Mayor of Ontario!
  8. Walter posted on 05/30/2014 07:04 PM
    It seems that 52% of the population realize that 36% of the population are idiots.
    1. Sonny posted on 05/30/2014 07:47 PM
      @Walter The Liberals are leading in the seat count. There are about 30 seats that are a toss up
  9. █ Alex █ posted on 05/30/2014 07:10 PM
    Don't vote for Tim Hudak for the province of Ontario.

    Do vote for John Tory for Mayor of Toronto!
    1. Alex posted on 05/30/2014 07:18 PM
      @█ Alex █ Never vote for anyone who wants to lower your debt and your taxes while boosting your quality of life! It's a trap to let you keep more of your hard-earned money than you know how to responsibly handle.

      Trust the liberals. They know what to do with your wealth better than you do.
    2. john posted on 05/31/2014 11:09 AM
      @Alex i take it u are in welfare thay way u talk .

      it sounds all honky dory but there is a big problum .

      in order for welfare to work u got to have people who pay taxes money do not grow on trees as the liberal government would have u think . the one thing we got going for us is that this is a free country so there is the option to move to a province with people who are not stupid enough to think money grows on trees . company s ( if i ever run one ) would rather move to a province that thay know will make money . there is no point in running a company if there is no profit to the owners . so thay are going to move out that how it works . there is no way in hell i would set up a company in this province Alberta is the way to go .
    3. Alex posted on 06/02/2014 06:23 PM
      @john Of course money grows on trees, you retard. Otherwise it would mean the Liberals have been making the worst possible mistakes for Ontario for eleven straight years, and that the business model of unions going on strike and holding services hostage every few years was completely unsustainable!

      No, money HAS to grow on trees. Are you white? To sound that retarded, you must be white. No self-respecting Chinaman would talk like you do.
  10. █Alex█ posted on 05/30/2014 07:32 PM
    █ Tim Hudak is a person whose views have been molded by the Walmart corporate greed.█ It is unfortunate that this person doesn't see the importance of Ontario families for the future of this province.█ Vote for anyone other than John Tory, not that there are any very good choices.█
  11. █Alex█ posted on 05/30/2014 07:40 PM
    █Timothy Patrick Hudak was born on November 1, 1967, in Fort Erie, Ont. His father was a high school principal and his mother was a teacher.█
    In 1994, he was hired by Walmart, where he worked in management for a year, before running for office in the spring of 1995 in the riding of Niagara South.█That was the election that made Mike Harris premier and introduced Ontario to the Common Sense Revolution.█
    1. . posted on 05/30/2014 10:34 PM
  12. █Alex█ posted on 05/30/2014 07:41 PM
    █ By "working families," of course I mean the Working Families Coalition. █ As a representative of a vast conglomerate of unions, they have a moral claim to the money we work hard to earn. █ We have no such claim. █

    █ Remember, if you don't want to give Big Unions exactly as much of your money as they want, for no other reason than they want it, you are literally worse than Hitler. █
    1. john posted on 05/31/2014 11:22 AM
      @█Alex█ i listen to the Working Families bullshit Coalition. like i listen to a politician in a sound proof room .
  13. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 05/31/2014 06:13 AM
    52% of Ontario voters understand that a Hudak win would be financial and social carnage and voting NDP is just plain stupid.
  14. Sammy from Scarborough posted on 05/31/2014 07:52 AM
    Are you ready for the surprises this week of advance voting?
    1. The voting will be heavier than expected.
    2. The Liberals will emerge with a surprising (to some) lead.

    You saw it here first.
    1. john posted on 05/31/2014 11:27 AM
      @Sammy from Scarborough and 2 years latter we will be a official member of the chapter 11 club i just called Detroit to see if thay got a seat in the club it turns out thay have lots of them . the devils children will tare this province down . it will be the new hell on earth .
  15. Mark7 posted on 05/31/2014 12:54 PM
  16. Mark7 posted on 05/31/2014 12:58 PM
    Don't look now, but Alex is ranting again. zzzz He is quite passionate about destroying Ontario by voting criminal Fiberal. Can it get any dumber than that?!
    1. john posted on 05/31/2014 01:56 PM
      @Mark7 remember what bill Cosby said

      never challenge worse .
    2. Mark7 posted on 05/31/2014 02:39 PM
  17. ToddK_2 posted on 05/31/2014 02:13 PM
    It would make my year to see the Liberals get destroyed like the Federal ones did to themselves with corruption as well.

    Maybe these voters will smarten up? And to those calling Hudak's PCs the Tea Party North, well aren't you guys just the same Spin Doctors they have down there on Fox and MSNBC. One handed clap for you jokers\union members.
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