Is the U.S. election really all that close?
People love making predictions. In the minutes before Oscar nominations you'll see entertainment reporters making frantic predictions. What's the point? They’re just guessing. But making predictions is a form of betting and there's a drug-like exhilaration from being right. Clearly some people are jonesing for that fix because you can read some outrageous predictions on line today. I subscribe to a lot of hard right news services because I like to see what people are saying. Here's what a guy named Wayne Alyn Root wrote today:
"The Romney landslide I predicted back on May 30th, and in the media virtually every day since then, is materializing. The signs are everywhere that Obama is enjoying his farewell tour. These are the last days of his political career."
Really? Of course it's always possible that something might happen and there will be an upset but the more likely scenario is that the polls are correct and Barack Obama is going to win. This whole "neck and neck horse race" scenario is great for the media to keep you tuned but it may be nothing more than a sweet idea. Check out this interactive map at Huffington Post. They've collated polling results state by state and as you glide your cursor over the map you can see probabilities that a given candidate will win. Things don't look good for Romney. But as we’ve seen in Quebec and Alberta, polling is a lot more fickle these days.
Whatever outcome you are hoping for, we should know tomorrow or even tonite. And you can listen to the excitement live on NewsTalk 1010 as Ryan Doyle and John Downs anchor coverage with input from the full team and reaction from you.
Tomorrow morning one man will be bitterly disappointed. That's why this series of interviews with men who lost the presidency is a really good read. How do you go from being a contender for the most important job in the world to being the guy who lost? From motorcades and cheering crowds, hotel room strategy sessions and soaring speeches to the solitude of your home and your wife. It takes character to run and perhaps even more to lose.